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Stock Watch — September 30, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:20 AM IST, Wednesday, September 30, 2026 📊 INDICES Tuesday (Sep 29) close data; % change = Tuesday’s session move. Next session opens today, Sep 30. Index Close (Sep 29) Change % Change Nifty 50 22,716.20 -64.05 ↘️ -0.28% Sensex 72,529.07 -242.65 ↘️ -0.33% Nifty Bank 54,259.95 -211.70 ↘️ -0.39% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 24,648.50 -23.15 ➡️ -0.09% Nifty IT 27,670.00 -416.50 ↘️ -1.48% India VIX 13.41 -0.23 ↘️ -1.69% GIFT Nifty (Wed a.m.) ~22,800 vs 22,716 cash close ↗️ flat-to-positive open Pre-market signal (for Wednesday’s open): Tuesday was the stabilisation session the bears didn’t get to finish — Nifty sank to a fresh six-month low intraday (below 22,600) and then recovered ~200 pts to close just -0.28%. GIFT Nifty sits ~22,800 this morning — a flat-to-mildly-positive open after four sessions of FII selling (₹9,980 cr out Tuesday, DIIs bought ₹6,953 cr). Elevated US yields and $93.5 crude still cap the tape. Two mechanical events today: the Nifty 50 rebalancing takes effect — BSE replaces Wipro (est. ~$741M passive inflow to BSE, ~$246M outflow from Wipro) — and it’s Sep 30 half-yearly closing for banks (balance-sheet window-dressing day; branches confirmed open after the strike was deferred). Technical map: support 22,500 (Tuesday’s low), then 22,400; resistance 22,800, and the bigger reclaim-level 23,000–23,150. Bank Nifty defended nothing on Tuesday (closed below Monday’s 54,437 low) — 54,000 is the line to hold; 55,000 the repair gate. ...

Stock Watch — September 29, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:25 AM IST, Tuesday, September 29, 2026 📊 INDICES Monday (Sep 28) close data; % change = Monday’s session move. Next session opens today, Sep 29. Index Close (Sep 28) Change % Change Nifty 50 22,780.25 -360.25 ↘️ -1.56% Sensex 72,771.72 -1,124.02 ↘️ -1.52% Nifty Bank 54,471.65 -1,108.75 ↘️ -1.99% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 24,671.65 -423.20 ↘️ -1.69% Nifty IT 28,086.50 -74.40 ↘️ -0.26% GIFT Nifty (Tue a.m.) 22,834.50 -10 pts vs futures prev close ➡️ flat / muted open Pre-market signal (for Tuesday’s open): Monday delivered the gap-down Friday’s GIFT Nifty hinted at — and then some. Nifty broke the 23,000 line decisively (-1.56%), Bank Nifty fell hardest (-1.99%), and India VIX spiked 12.1% to 13.64. This morning GIFT Nifty sits at 22,834.5 — ~54 pts above Monday’s cash close, a muted-to-flat open signal as the market pauses for breath. The technical map: immediate support 22,650–22,700, below which selling can extend to 22,400; on top, 23,000 is now strong resistance and hard to reclaim. Institutional flows: FIIs sold ₹5,353 cr, DIIs bought ₹5,189 cr Monday. Two sentiment factors flip today: the 3-day bank strike was deferred at the last minute (UFBU–IBA will discuss the 5-day week; branches open Tue–Wed including Sep 30 half-yearly closing) — an overhang off PSU banks — but SC refused to stay the 0.4% UPI MDR, keeping the Oct 15 levy on course. Defend 54,400 on Bank Nifty (Monday’s low 54,437); reclaim of 55,000 would need FPI pause. ...

Stock Watch — September 28, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:30 AM IST, Monday, September 28, 2026 📊 INDICES Friday (Sep 25) close data; % change = Friday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 28 — Day 1 of the 3-day bank strike. Index Close (Sep 25) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,140.50 +77.40 ↗️ +0.34% Nifty Bank 55,580.40 +141.90 ↗️ +0.26% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,094.85 +140.70 ↗️ +0.56% Nifty IT 28,160.90 -47.95 ↘️ -0.17% Sensex 73,895.74 +315.20 ↗️ +0.43% GIFT Nifty (Mon a.m.) 23,105.50 -130.50 pts vs futures prev close ↘️ -0.56% gap-down signal Pre-market signal (for Monday’s open): Friday was a value-buying bounce (+0.34%) that still left the market down for a 7th straight week. This morning GIFT Nifty points to a ~130-point gap-down (≈23,105, -0.56%) as US futures pull back and commodities slide (gold -1.65%, silver -3%). FIIs sold ₹3,694 cr Friday; DIIs absorbed ₹2,838 cr. Technically, 23,000 is the line — Friday’s low was 23,020 and max Put OI sits at the 23,000 strike; a decisive break opens 22,800–22,700. Upside capped by the bearish gap at 23,280–23,350, then 23,500–23,550. PCR improved 0.7 → 0.92 (max Call OI 24,000/23,500), so the options book does allow a rebound toward 23,300–23,400 if 23,000 holds. Bank Nifty must defend 55,300 — holding it targets 55,900–56,200; losing it opens 55,000–54,800. Macro: USD/INR flat at 95.80, WTI crude +1.5% to $93.80. The week’s wildcard is domestic: 3-day bank strike Sep 28–30 begins today, colliding with month-end and the Sep 30 half-yearly closing — expect defensive positioning in PSU banks. ...

Stock Watch — September 25, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Friday, September 25, 2026 📊 INDICES Thursday (Sep 24) close data; % change = Thursday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 25. Index Close (Sep 24) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,063.10 -383.70 ↘️ -1.64% Nifty Bank 55,438.50 -1,110.40 ↘️ -1.96% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 24,954.15 -383.70 ↘️ -1.51% Nifty IT 28,208.85 -645.70 ↘️ -2.24% Sensex 73,580.54 -1,247.71 ↘️ -1.67% GIFT Nifty (Fri a.m.) ~23,137 +28 pts vs futures prev close ➡️ mild positive open Pre-market signal (for Friday’s open): A Bloody Thursday — the worst session since April. Nifty broke below its 2.5-month consolidation, closing at the lowest level since April, with the IRDAI insurance commission-cap proposal the sector bomb (more below) and a Houthi missile attack on Saudi Arabia spiking crude ~3%. India VIX exploded +22.8% to 12.71 — this time it is fear. GIFT Nifty holds a ~28-point premium (~23,137), signalling a flat-to-mildly-positive open — a pause, not a recovery. Technically, 23,000 is the line: a convincing break opens 22,700–22,500; upside resistance 23,200–23,300. PCR at 0.963 with Call OI (2.07 cr) well above Put OI (1.55 cr) — the tape is set up to sell rallies. Bank Nifty: hold 55,000; resistance stacked at 55,700/55,900/56,100, bias sell-on-rise below 56,053. Macro: Brent eased to $106.02 but US 10-year yield ~5.11% keeps the pressure on. Weekend factor: a 3-day bank strike Sep 28–30 is confirmed for next week — expect defensive positioning into Friday’s close. ...

Stock Watch — September 23, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Wednesday, September 23, 2026 📊 INDICES Tuesday (Sep 22) close data; % change = Tuesday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 23. Index Close (Sep 22) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,329.00 -85.30 ↘️ -0.36% Nifty Bank 56,215.55 -255.10 ↘️ -0.45% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,417.95 -106.75 ↘️ -0.42% Nifty IT 28,582.10 -248.80 ↘️ -0.86% Sensex 74,529.08 -329.91 ↘️ -0.44% GIFT Nifty (Wed a.m.) ~23,345 → fading ~flat to -50 pts ➡️ flat-to-soft open Pre-market signal (for Wednesday’s open): Tuesday snapped the four-day winning streak — IT (-0.86%) led the slide with PSU banks and oil & gas behind it, breadth was negative (1,868 declines vs 1,679 advances), and the daily chart printed a bearish engulfing pattern. FIIs sold ₹3,800 crore (second straight day); DIIs absorbed ₹4,120 crore. India VIX cooled another ~2% to ~11 — fear isn’t the driver, profit-taking is. GIFT Nifty opened the morning firm (~23,345) but has faded to signal a flat-to-softly-negative open (-~50 pts by 8 AM) as Asian cues turned mixed and crude steadied. The macro tailwind: Brent is back under $100 after Saudi restarted the East-West pipeline at reduced rates and US-Iran diplomacy perked up — OMC/aviation relief, upstream drag. Technically, Nifty must defend 23,300 (below that, 23,200 is the working stop, then 23,000) with 23,400 the first resistance (23,500-23,650 the recovery zone). Bank Nifty needs to hold 56,000 and reclaim 56,500-57,000 to resume the up-move. Events today: Hero Motors lists; NSE IPO (allotment done, GMP ~3%) lists tomorrow. ...

Stock Watch — September 22, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Tuesday, September 22, 2026 📊 INDICES Monday (Sep 21) close data; % change = Monday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 22. Index Close (Sep 21) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,414.30 +67.90 ↗️ +0.29% Nifty Bank 56,470.65 +111.95 ↗️ +0.20% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,524.70 +14.70 ➡️ +0.06% Nifty IT 28,830.90 -23.65 ↘️ -0.08% Sensex 74,858.99 +564.03 ↗️ +0.76% GIFT Nifty (Tue a.m.) ~23,515 ~+100 pts ↗️ firm-open signal Pre-market signal (for Tuesday’s open): Monday was the broad-market turn the tape needed — Sensex +564, Nifty reclaimed 23,400, and the recovery broadened beyond large-caps even as the Midcap index slipped 178 pts. Pharma, FMCG and consumer durables led; metals and IT dragged. GIFT Nifty trades ~23,515 early Tuesday — about 100 points above Monday’s close — pointing to a firm-to-strong open. The week’s backdrop: the Trump-Xi summit in Washington and UNGA week dominate global risk, crude is easing but the Middle East simmers, India VIX cooled 1.32% to 11.24, and the rupee held ~₹95.8/$. Technically, Nifty must convert 23,500 (resistance, then 23,600; stretch target 23,760 per LKP’s Rupak De) with 23,300 the level to defend; Bank Nifty needs to reclaim 57,000 while defending 56,000. The UPI MDR fee pool (effective Oct 15) remains the fintech tape’s own engine — Monday rotated within it rather than out of it (below). ...

Stock Watch — September 21, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Monday, September 21, 2026 📊 INDICES Friday (Sep 18) close data; % change = Friday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 21. Index Close (Sep 18) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,346.40 +75.80 ↗️ +0.33% Nifty Bank 56,358.70 +302.95 ↗️ +0.54% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,510.00 +191.65 ↗️ +0.76% Nifty IT 28,854.55 -301.05 ↘️ -1.03% Sensex 74,294.96 -19.63 ➡️ -0.03% GIFT Nifty (Mon a.m.) 23,341 ~-5 pts ➡️ flat-to-negative open signal Pre-market signal (for Monday’s open): Friday was a rotation day — Nifty and Bank Nifty advanced on easing crude while Nifty IT fell 1.03% (TCS -3.9% was the Sensex’s biggest drag), and the benchmark still notched a sixth straight weekly decline (Nifty -0.22% for the week). GIFT Nifty sits at 23,341, marginally below Friday’s close — a flat-to-cautious open despite Asian equities up, positive US futures, and falling oil. The macro turn is real: Moody’s raised India’s FY27 GDP forecast to 7.0% (from 6.0%) Friday, the Fed’s hiking cycle is seen concluded with Treasury yields easing, and Brent crude is retreating — but persistent FII outflows (DIIs absorbed ~₹3,612 cr last week) and the IT unwind cap conviction. Technically, Nifty must now sustain above 23,350 (falling 20-DMA) for the three-session recovery to extend: resistance 23,450–23,500, then 23,600/23,630; supports 23,200, then the key 23,100–23,000 zone (a break there risks the panic-selling scenario flagged by chartists). Bank Nifty needs to defend 56,000; resistance 57,000–57,200. The fintech tape has its own engine — the UPI MDR fee pool from Oct 15 — with Friday’s action showing the bid rotating back into wallets (below). ...

Stock Watch — September 18, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Friday, September 18, 2026 📊 INDICES Thursday (Sep 17) close data; % change = Thursday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 18. Index Close (Sep 17) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,270.60 +53.00 ↗️ +0.23% Nifty Bank 56,055.75 -236.70 ↘️ -0.42% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,318.35 +55.95 ↗️ +0.22% Nifty IT 29,155.60 +67.95 ↗️ +0.23% Sensex 74,314.59 -21.86 ➡️ -0.03% GIFT Nifty (Fri a.m., NSE IX) 23,344 -11 pts ➡️ muted start (~73-pt premium to spot) Pre-market signal (for Friday’s open): Nifty booked a second straight day of gains on easing oil, but the win was narrow — Bank Nifty fell 0.42% even as FinNifty/IT held green. GIFT Nifty sits at 23,344 (−11 pts), a modest premium that points to a flat, cautious open: Wall Street surged overnight and Asia is rallying, but FII selling (DIIs bought ₹3,618 cr on Thursday) and a rupee that breached 96 intraday before closing at 95.94 (weakest zone since late July) cap the upside. Macro overhang: the Fed hiked 25 bps to 3.75–4.00% Tuesday — its first since July 2023 — with one more flagged; RBI is draining liquidity in parallel (₹3.93 lakh cr VRRR + ₹1 lakh cr OMO sales). Technicals: Nifty momentum (RSI) is improving with resistance at 23,300; supports 23,118 (Tuesday’s 5-month-low close) and 23,000 (heavy put OI). Bank Nifty: resistance 56,500, support 55,800/55,550. The fintech tape has its own engine this week — the UPI MDR notification (below) — while the NSE IPO keeps capital-market attention elevated. ...

Stock Watch — September 17, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Thursday, September 17, 2026 📊 INDICES Wednesday (Sep 16) close data; % change = Wednesday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 17. Index Close (Sep 16) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,217.60 +99.00 ↗️ +0.43% Nifty Bank 56,292.45 +497.70 ↗️ +0.89% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,262.40 +185.75 ↗️ +0.74% Nifty IT 29,087.65 -467.65 ↘️ -1.58% Sensex 74,336.45 +332.63 ↗️ +0.45% GIFT Nifty (Thu a.m.) ~23,219–23,235 ~50–60 pt discount to Nifty fut. ↘️ weak start Pre-market signal (for Thursday’s open): Wednesday snapped a two-day losing streak with broad-based buying across sectors — barring IT (TCS -3% led tech lower; FIIs remain net sellers, -₹2,978 cr on Tuesday). But the tape today is owned by last night’s Fed: the FOMC hiked 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00% — the first US rate hike in three years — with a unanimous vote, Chair Kevin Warsh striking a hawkish tone and the dot plot’s 4.1% end-2026 median implying at least one more hike. Wall Street slid into and after the decision (Dow -1%+, US bank stocks down ~3%), the dollar index hit 100.30 (rupee pressure), and GIFT Nifty is trading at a ~50–60 point discount (~23,219–23,235), pointing to a flat-to-negative open. Offsets: Brent eased ~1.4% to ~$104 (Saudi offering extra cargoes) and Asia is mildly green (Nikkei +0.3%, Kospi +0.3%). Today is also weekly F&O expiry, an in-built volatility amplifier. Analyst ranges: Nifty support 23,000 (heavy Put OI) / 23,118 (Tuesday’s 5-month-low close), resistance 23,350–23,500; Bank Nifty support 55,800/55,550, resistance 56,500–57,000. ...

Stock Watch — September 16, 2026 Market Day Summary | Not investment advice Summary as of 8:15 AM IST, Wednesday, September 16, 2026 📊 INDICES Tuesday (Sep 15) close data; % change = Tuesday’s session move. Next trading session opens today, Sep 16. Index Close (Sep 15) Change % Change Nifty 50 23,118.60 -279.50 -1.19% Nifty Bank 55,794.75 -811.80 -1.43% Nifty FinServ (FinNifty) 25,076.65 -468.75 -1.83% Nifty IT 29,555.30 +633.80 ↗️ +2.19% Sensex 74,003.82 -777.94 -1.04% GIFT Nifty (Wed a.m.) 23,223.50 +105 pts vs Nifty close ↗️ +0.45% Pre-market signal (for Wednesday’s open): Tuesday was a split-tape day that ended ugly — Nifty gapped up on a strong IT relief rally (HCL Tech ~+4–6.5%, Infosys +3.6%, TCS +2.2% on global AI-sector repricing and a rupee at a 7-week low after its sharpest single-day drop) and HDFC Bank’s strength, then reversed hard from ~75,436 (Sensex intraday high) to close at a fresh five-month low. The macro troika doing the damage: Brent crude above $108–109/bbl (Saudi pipeline shutdown reports), the US 10-year yield crossing 5%, and rate-hike (not cut) expectations into the FOMC — the Fed’s decision lands late tonight IST, and that, not today’s open, owns this tape. Breadth was terrible (~2,704 decliners vs 577 advancers on NSE); Nifty has fallen ~1,000 pts in September and hasn’t closed above the prior day’s high in 14 straight sessions, yet daily RSI is oversold (~22–24), so experts favour sell-on-rise over bottom-fishing. GIFT Nifty at ~23,223 (+0.45% premium) signals a flat-to-mildly-positive open. Analyst ranges for Wednesday: Nifty support 23,000/22,955 (highest Put OI at 23,000 — a break risks a panic slide), resistance 23,200–23,400/23,420; Bank Nifty support 55,550–55,600, resistance 56,000–56,500, then 57,000 (the 100-day EMA that rejected it Tuesday). Note: Tuesday was weekly expiry day. ...