Fintech Brief — June 04, 2026
Fintech Brief — June 04, 2026 RBI MPC Deliberations Begin; Rate Hike Looms Over Currency Pressure The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) began its three-day deliberations on June 3, with the policy decision due Friday, June 6. While a majority of economists polled by CNBC expect the repo rate to hold at 5.25% — marking a third consecutive pause — there is growing chatter that the central bank may defy consensus and hike rates to defend the rupee. India is facing a dual risk: a weakening currency and elevated inflation, compounded by foreign institutional investor outflows that crossed $26.4 billion year-to-date in 2026. Bernstein’s Venugopal Garre argued on CNBC that a rate hike would be “more logical” for India, drawing parallels with Indonesia’s surprise 50 bps hike on May 20. Separately, Reuters reported that the RBI has sent at least 10 queries to firms and family offices over the past three weeks to scrutinise overseas investments routed through opaque structures — a rare enforcement sweep targeting potential misuse of the Overseas Direct Investment route for private wealth management. 1 2 ...